Skip to main content

Gold rally towards Rs 55,000 by December 2020

All that glitters is Gold”- you must have come across this statement as it is on every TV channel and website these days. But is there any truth to it? To explain the same, we would like to present our detailed study on it.

We took the price of Indian gold from October 2005 as it was from this day that the commodity exchange started recording the prices of gold officially.

In short, we have considered the price of Sensex and Gold of 2005 as the base price for further calculations.

When there was euphoria in the equity market back in the year January 2008, at that time, the Sensex rose 2.20 times more than the price of gold.

However, due to the problem in subprime mortgages and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, equity markets crashed the world over, and the fallout was seen in the Indian markets as well.

It was crisis time for equity and financial markets and during that period the yellow metal took the lead. Between the period of October 2008 and January 2009, gold prices rose sharply and the return on the investment (ROI) in gold was six times (6x) more than that in Sensex.

The dream run in gold continued till the end of March 2013 and it went to euphoric levels of Rs 33,000 from the levels of Rs 6,990 in October 2005. It delivered 1.8 times higher returns as compared to the level of Sensex.
Read full article - Click Here

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Taking Stock | Profit-booking pulls Nifty below 14,450; Sensex drops 549 points

  All the sectoral indices ended in the red with IT and PSU bank indices falling 2 percent each. The market remained under pressure on January 15 on the back of profit-booking across sectors amid weak global cues. At close, the Sensex was down 549.49 points or 1.11% at 49,034.67, and Nifty was down 161.90 points or 1.11% at 14,433.70. "The market witnessed profit-booking and following global trends. Nifty continues to resist 14,600 and has taken a dip towards 14,360. If the market closes below 14,380 levels, we might see a correction till the levels of 14,180-14,200. Momentum indicators like RSI, MACD are indicating a small correction in the markets," said Ashis Biswas, Head of Research at CapitalVia Global Research. All the sectoral indices ended in the red with IT and PSU bank falling 2 percent each. Broader markets performed in line with the main indices with BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices falling 1 percent each. Tech Mahindra, GAIL, HCL Tech, Wipro and ONGC...

Futures Trade | A bullish breakout of a flag pattern in HDFC

HDFC is moving in an uptrend with a minor corrective decline. The range is classified as a flag and a breakout of falling minor trendline confirms a possible upside. HDFC is moving in an uptrend with a minor corrective decline from Nov 20 highs. The decline is on lower, contracting volumes and suggests a correction within an ongoing trend. The range-bound action can also be classified as a flag as it is on coming off a sharp rally. A breakout of falling minor trendline confirms a possible upside. Buy around Rs 2300-2310. Keep a stop below Rs 2250 and hold for a target of Rs 2400 and above that to Rs 2450.

Similar to 2020, D-Street is at record high ahead of Budget 2021; will history repeat itself?

  Experts are of the view that a repeat of 2020 or what happened in March might not be possible but some consolidation cannot be ruled out. Back in March when everyone wanted to write-off 2020 from their books, hope and liquidity supported markets and investor sentiment. Nobody thought that after touching a 3-year low in March 2020, benchmark indices would give double-digit returns by the end of the year. The S&P BSE Sensex and Nifty50 rallied by about 15 percent in 2020 and the big outperformance came from the small and midcap stocks. The rally is still continuing in 2021. The S&P BSE Sensex, which climbed Mount 49K, is up over 3 percent while the Nifty50 is up over 4 percent so far in January. Sensex scaling the 49,000-mark and Nifty50 touching 14,500 levels ahead of the Budget 2021 could make anyone cautious about the strength of the rally. Back in January 2020, both Sensex and Nifty touched fresh highs ahead of Budget, and then the market fell like a pack of cards. The ...