Infosys fired almost on all cylinders in June quarter earnings, which gave confidence to investors and as a result six out of 10 fund houses raised exposure to the stock last month.
Mutual funds, also known as
asset management companies (AMCs), are key investors in equity markets. They
put investors' money in several segments, including equities and debts. In the
last few years, whenever the market corrected sharply, they remained
supportive.
But, in the last couple of
months, they have been net sellers, probably preferring to book profits given
the 50 percent rally in markets from March lows. In the last two months,
MFs sold nearly Rs 11,000 crore worth of shares, including Rs 7,232 crore in
July.
Foreign institutional investors
(FIIs), however, were net buyers, who bought nearly Rs 32,000 crore worth of
shares in the two-month period, including Rs 8,590.13 crore in July. If we go
back a bit more, FIIs have been net buyers in the April-July period.
The market rose more than 7
percent in June as well as July. It seems to have priced in all positives given
the data points published during the unlocking period and June quarter earnings
report card along with major liquidity boost, experts say.
Given the rally, mutual funds
rejigged their exposure to some stocks but four bluechips—Reliance Industries,
Infosys, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank— have remained a constant in their holdings.
The country's second-largest IT
services company Infosys and top private sector lender HDFC Bank were
held by all top 10 mutual fund houses in July. Billionaire Mukesh-Ambani-owned Reliance
Industries and India's second-largest private sector lender ICICI
Bank were held by nine of the 10 AMCs.
Overall, eight AMCs—SBI AMC,
HDFC AMC, ICICI Prudential AMC, Nippon AMC, UTI AMC, Aditya Birla Sunlife AMC,
Kotak AMC and Mirae AMC—held all these four stocks.
These AMCs held more than Rs 2
lakh crore worth of shares in these four companies, including HDFC Bank (Rs
56,192 crore) and Reliance Industries (Rs 51,820 crore).
These four stocks have rallied
smartly from their March lows, with Reliance Industries leading the charge (up
139 percent), Infosys (82 percent), HDFC Bank (34 percent) and ICICI Bank (27
percent).
Reliance (up 21 percent) and
Infosys (up 31 percent) continued their run in July as well but ICICI Bank was
down 1 percent and HDFC Bank 3 percent during the month.
Given the rally, eight of nine
AMCs reduced their exposure to Reliance Industries in July. More than Rs 1.5
lakh crore of investment by global investors in Jio Platforms, a flourishing
telecom business and its debt-free status pushed RIL stock price to record high
in July. RIL became the first company to hit Rs 14-lakh crore (including its
partly paid-up shares) market cap.
Infosys fired almost on all cylinders
in the June quarter earnings, which gave confidence to investors and as a
result, six of the 10 fund houses raised exposure to the stock in July. In the
case of ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank, which reported good sets of earnings despite
moratorium, five AMCs each increased their exposure.
"Market is being driven
majorly by RIL. Also, technology stocks were favourites among AMCs. Growth
anticipation and better Q1FY21 results led the rally. In my opinion, these
stocks may continue to generate good returns in the long term. Amid uncertainty
over earnings and sustained profitability, institutions have preferred
heavyweights over broader indices," Gaurav Garg, Head of Research at
CapitalVia Global Research told Moneycontrol.
The broader market has not
performed well over the last three years. Since 2018 January, the Nifty has
remained flat while the broader market as represented by midcap and smallcap
indices have severely underperformed the Nifty.
Vineeta Sharma, Head of
Research at Narnolia Financial Advisors agrees with Garg. "The market
internals are highly skewed in the favour of selective largecap stocks and the
same is being reflected when we see the mutual funds holdings," she said.
Till a broader economic
recovery and earnings growth is seen in Indian companies, this situation will
continue, she said.
Both experts favour holding
these stocks for the long term.
Garg said investors should have
60 percent exposure in bluechips and rest in broader indices. "In my
opinion, they should continue to hold them for mid to long term."
These stable good quality
companies are a must-own for any investor for the long term, though once
broader economy improves, it would be advisable to include growth-producing mid
and small-cap stocks as well, Sharma said.
Apart from these four stocks,
seven of 10 AMCs held Bharti Airtel in July and six have exposure to Axis Bank.
Five fund houses also have exposure to Kotak Mahindra Bank, TCS and ITC.
HUL, SBI and NTPC were held by
four out of 10 AMCs, while housing finance major HDFC is held by three fund
houses.
Note: The
data of top 10 AMCs and their exposure to stocks in July has been taken from
ICICI Direct's research report of August 13, 2020.
Disclaimer: The views and
investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not
those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com/SD Solutions advises
users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
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