Skip to main content

Nifty forms bearish candle, can fall to 11,800 in coming sessions

Traders should avoid directional bet on the index by shifting focus to stock-specific opportunities, Mazhar Mohammad of Chartviewindia.in has said.

The Nifty50 started off the day on a strong note and crossed the psychologically important 12,000-mark in the initial hour of trade but couldn't sustain the momentum. The index closed with moderate gains as the stimulus package announced by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman left the markets unimpressed.

The index failed to sustain the 12,000-mark and formed a small-bodied bearish candle on the daily charts as closing was lower than opening levels.



The index could consolidate after the recent run-up and if it breaks 11,790, then there could be further selling pressure, experts said.

For the time, traders should avoid directional bet on the index by shifting focus on stock-specific opportunities, said Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory at Chartviewindia.in told Moneycontrol.

The Nifty50 opened strong at 11,973.55 to hit an intraday high of 12,022.05 but cooled off the finance minister's announcement, slipping in to the red to the day's low of 11,867.20. The index recouped some losses in the last amid volatility and closed 16.80 points higher at 11,931, continuing the uptrend for the eighth consecutive session.

"As the Nifty witnessed a mild sell-off from the critical psychological resistance point with an intraday high of 12,000 levels, our twin momentum oscillators generated a sell signal. Hence, in the next couple of trading sessions, we either expect sideways session or a dip towards 11,800 levels but slightly bigger correction can be expected if Nifty closes below 11,790 levels," Mohammad said.

"As momentum is high, despite negative advance:decline ratio for fourth session in a row, if the Nifty manages a close above 12,000 levels in next session then index can head higher towards 12,200 levels whereas weakness on intraday basis can get accelerated if the Nifty trades below 11,867 levels with initial targets of 11,800," he said.

India VIX was up by 3.67 percent from 20.38 to 21.12 levels.

Despite volatility, the option data indicated that the Nifty could see an immediate trading range of 11,700-12,100.

On the options front, maximum Put open interest was seen at 10,500 followed by 11,000 strike, while maximum Call open interest was at 12,500 followed by 12,000 strike. Marginal Call writing was seen in 12,200 and 12,500 strike while Put writing was seen at 11,600 then 11,900 strike.

The Bank Nifty opened positive at 23,955.60 and headed higher further to hit the day's high of 24,190.35 in the first 15 minutes of the trade. However, it failed to hold its opening gains and declined around 600 points.

The index closed 134 points lower at 23,712.80 and formed a bearish candle on the daily scale, snapping its seven-day winning streak.

"The Bank Nifty has to continue to hold above 23,500 to witness an upmove towards 24,200 then 24,500 while on the downside key support exists at 23,200 then 23,000 levels," Chandan Taparia, Vice President | Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services told Moneycontrol.

Source - Moneycontrol.com

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Panacea Biotech shares hit 5% upper circuit after dengue vaccine completes phase I & II study

DengiAIl induced robust neutralising antibody responses against all the four dengue virus serotypes, the company has said in an exchange filing. Panacea Biotech share price hit 5 percent upper circuit on the BSE on September 24 after the company completed phases I and II study of its dengue vaccine candidate DengiAIl. "Panacea Biotec Ltd. is delighted to announce the successful completion of its Phase I/II study to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of its vaccine, DengiAll, a single-dose liveattenuated tetravalent vaccine," the company said in an exchange filing. Live-attenuated vaccines contain weakened bacteria or viruses that trigger an immune response but do not cause disease. The company said DengiAIl induced robust neutralising antibody responses against all the four dengue virus serotypes. DengiAIl has been found to be safe and well-tolerated with no serious adverse effects, the company said. After a single-dose, more than 80 percent of the participants ...

Taking Stock | Profit-booking pulls Nifty below 14,450; Sensex drops 549 points

  All the sectoral indices ended in the red with IT and PSU bank indices falling 2 percent each. The market remained under pressure on January 15 on the back of profit-booking across sectors amid weak global cues. At close, the Sensex was down 549.49 points or 1.11% at 49,034.67, and Nifty was down 161.90 points or 1.11% at 14,433.70. "The market witnessed profit-booking and following global trends. Nifty continues to resist 14,600 and has taken a dip towards 14,360. If the market closes below 14,380 levels, we might see a correction till the levels of 14,180-14,200. Momentum indicators like RSI, MACD are indicating a small correction in the markets," said Ashis Biswas, Head of Research at CapitalVia Global Research. All the sectoral indices ended in the red with IT and PSU bank falling 2 percent each. Broader markets performed in line with the main indices with BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices falling 1 percent each. Tech Mahindra, GAIL, HCL Tech, Wipro and ONGC...

Similar to 2020, D-Street is at record high ahead of Budget 2021; will history repeat itself?

  Experts are of the view that a repeat of 2020 or what happened in March might not be possible but some consolidation cannot be ruled out. Back in March when everyone wanted to write-off 2020 from their books, hope and liquidity supported markets and investor sentiment. Nobody thought that after touching a 3-year low in March 2020, benchmark indices would give double-digit returns by the end of the year. The S&P BSE Sensex and Nifty50 rallied by about 15 percent in 2020 and the big outperformance came from the small and midcap stocks. The rally is still continuing in 2021. The S&P BSE Sensex, which climbed Mount 49K, is up over 3 percent while the Nifty50 is up over 4 percent so far in January. Sensex scaling the 49,000-mark and Nifty50 touching 14,500 levels ahead of the Budget 2021 could make anyone cautious about the strength of the rally. Back in January 2020, both Sensex and Nifty touched fresh highs ahead of Budget, and then the market fell like a pack of cards. The ...